| | Posted Wednesday, September 03, 2008 9:58 AM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 7:44 PM |
| Gabe (9/3/2008)
CatAttack78 (9/2/2008) You're no daisy! You're no daisy at all. Poor soul, you were just too high strung. I'm your huckleberry. I have two guns.....One for each of ya...
|^^^^^^^^^^^^^^| || |...BEER TRUCK..........| ||'|";, ___. |_..._..._______===|=||_|__|..., ] - "(@)'(@)"""''"**|(@)(@)*****''(@)
If you're not wasted, the day is. My theme song. Make the world a better place, punch Tim Teblow and Tony Stewart Kyle Busch in the face. | |
| | | Posted Wednesday, September 03, 2008 10:18 AM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 1:46 PM |
| Awesome! "Say when!"
Either write something worth reading, or do something worth writing.
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| | | Posted Thursday, September 04, 2008 12:20 AM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: 2 days ago @ 8:00 PM |
| On the 11pm (Wednesday) forecast... this one bears watching carefully, particularly here in the Palm Bay/Melbourne area.
Ike... just sounds like a bad guy.
I quote the NHC
WTNT44 KNHC 040257
TCDAT4
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 PM EDT WED SEP 03 2008
IKE HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING. AN EYE BECAME APPARENT IN
CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHORTLY AFTER 2100 UTC. SINCE THAT
TIME THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT WITH A RING OF VERY COLD
CLOUDS TOPS SURROUNDING IT. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS WERE
T6.0 AND RAW ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS HAVE AVERAGED T6.2 SINCE
2045 UTC. BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET
AT 115 KT...MAKING IKE A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...THIS
WILL LARGELY BE CONTROLLED BY EYE-WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES. HOWEVER
BOTH THE GLOBAL MODELS AND SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATE INCREASING
NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO
PREDICT HOW AN INTENSE HURRICANE LIKE IKE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS
SHEAR. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST INDICATES SOME WEAKENING BETWEEN
24-72 HOURS DUE TO THE SHEAR...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS INDICATED BY THE
SHIPS GUIDANCE. AT DAYS 4 AND 5...IT APPEARS THAT THE SHEAR WILL
DECREASE SO RE-STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED AT THAT TIME.
If the usual Coriolis force takes hold, as it usually does, moving this storm north at the end of 5 day forecast... this could be real trouble. I hope not. But we'll see.
This storm has all the makings of becoming the most powerful hurricane of the season. I don't relish this thought as it may very well come our way.
Not saying we's all gonna dies but here in my town we may have to seriously hide.
Hey MalabarJag, you feeling this too?
Edit: Typos
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| | | Posted Thursday, September 04, 2008 8:33 PM | |
| 
Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 6:21 PM |
| Bill4Jags (9/4/2008) On the 11pm (Wednesday) forecast... this one bears watching carefully, particularly here in the Palm Bay/Melbourne area.
Ike... just sounds like a bad guy.
I quote the NHC
WTNT44 KNHC 040257 TCDAT4 HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 PM EDT WED SEP 03 2008
IKE HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING. AN EYE BECAME APPARENT IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHORTLY AFTER 2100 UTC. SINCE THAT TIME THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT WITH A RING OF VERY COLD CLOUDS TOPS SURROUNDING IT. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS WERE T6.0 AND RAW ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS HAVE AVERAGED T6.2 SINCE 2045 UTC. BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 115 KT...MAKING IKE A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...THIS WILL LARGELY BE CONTROLLED BY EYE-WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES. HOWEVER BOTH THE GLOBAL MODELS AND SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT HOW AN INTENSE HURRICANE LIKE IKE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS SHEAR. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST INDICATES SOME WEAKENING BETWEEN 24-72 HOURS DUE TO THE SHEAR...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. AT DAYS 4 AND 5...IT APPEARS THAT THE SHEAR WILL DECREASE SO RE-STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED AT THAT TIME.
If the usual Coriolis force takes hold, as it usually does, moving this storm north at the end of 5 day forecast... this could be real trouble. I hope not. But we'll see.
This storm has all the makings of becoming the most powerful hurricane of the season. I don't relish this thought as it may very well come our way.
Not saying we's all gonna dies but here in my town we may have to seriously hide.
Hey MalabarJag, you feeling this too?
Edit: Typos
I hear what you are sayin bill. They now have it heading squarely for Miami and from the looks possibly moving up the state.
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| | | Posted Thursday, September 04, 2008 8:38 PM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Friday, October 31, 2008 2:23 AM |
| no1jag (9/4/2008)
Bill4Jags (9/4/2008) On the 11pm (Wednesday) forecast... this one bears watching carefully, particularly here in the Palm Bay/Melbourne area.
Ike... just sounds like a bad guy.
I quote the NHC
WTNT44 KNHC 040257 TCDAT4 HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 PM EDT WED SEP 03 2008
IKE HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING. AN EYE BECAME APPARENT IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHORTLY AFTER 2100 UTC. SINCE THAT TIME THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT WITH A RING OF VERY COLD CLOUDS TOPS SURROUNDING IT. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS WERE T6.0 AND RAW ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS HAVE AVERAGED T6.2 SINCE 2045 UTC. BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 115 KT...MAKING IKE A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...THIS WILL LARGELY BE CONTROLLED BY EYE-WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES. HOWEVER BOTH THE GLOBAL MODELS AND SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT HOW AN INTENSE HURRICANE LIKE IKE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS SHEAR. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST INDICATES SOME WEAKENING BETWEEN 24-72 HOURS DUE TO THE SHEAR...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. AT DAYS 4 AND 5...IT APPEARS THAT THE SHEAR WILL DECREASE SO RE-STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED AT THAT TIME.
If the usual Coriolis force takes hold, as it usually does, moving this storm north at the end of 5 day forecast... this could be real trouble. I hope not. But we'll see.
This storm has all the makings of becoming the most powerful hurricane of the season. I don't relish this thought as it may very well come our way.
Not saying we's all gonna dies but here in my town we may have to seriously hide.
Hey MalabarJag, you feeling this too?
Edit: Typos
I hear what you are sayin bill. They now have it heading squarely for Miami and from the looks possibly moving up the state. Still WAY too early to say folks, but preparing and staying tuned would be prudent.
Don't Take Life Too Seriously 
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| | | Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 11:38 AM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 1:46 PM |
| I know...let's have a spelling contest *edit* Looks like Ike may be following in Katrina's wake...
Either write something worth reading, or do something worth writing.
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| | | Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 12:03 PM | |
| 
Group: Forum Members Last Login: Friday, October 31, 2008 8:46 AM |
| Bill4Jags (9/4/2008) On the 11pm (Wednesday) forecast... this one bears watching carefully, particularly here in the Palm Bay/Melbourne area.
Ike... just sounds like a bad guy.
I quote the NHC
WTNT44 KNHC 040257 TCDAT4 HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008 1100 PM EDT WED SEP 03 2008
IKE HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS EVENING. AN EYE BECAME APPARENT IN CONVENTIONAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHORTLY AFTER 2100 UTC. SINCE THAT TIME THE EYE HAS BECOME MORE DISTINCT WITH A RING OF VERY COLD CLOUDS TOPS SURROUNDING IT. THE LATEST DVORAK DATA T-NUMBERS WERE T6.0 AND RAW ADT ESTIMATES FROM UW-CIMSS HAVE AVERAGED T6.2 SINCE 2045 UTC. BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 115 KT...MAKING IKE A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...THIS WILL LARGELY BE CONTROLLED BY EYE-WALL REPLACEMENT CYCLES. HOWEVER BOTH THE GLOBAL MODELS AND SHIPS GUIDANCE INDICATE INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IN ABOUT 24 HOURS AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO PREDICT HOW AN INTENSE HURRICANE LIKE IKE WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS SHEAR. THE NHC INTENSITY FORECAST INDICATES SOME WEAKENING BETWEEN 24-72 HOURS DUE TO THE SHEAR...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS INDICATED BY THE SHIPS GUIDANCE. AT DAYS 4 AND 5...IT APPEARS THAT THE SHEAR WILL DECREASE SO RE-STRENGTHENING IS PREDICTED AT THAT TIME.
If the usual Coriolis force takes hold, as it usually does, moving this storm north at the end of 5 day forecast... this could be real trouble. I hope not. But we'll see.
This storm has all the makings of becoming the most powerful hurricane of the season. I don't relish this thought as it may very well come our way.
Not saying we's all gonna dies but here in my town we may have to seriously hide.
Hey MalabarJag, you feeling this too?
Edit: Typos
The current (11 AM Fri.) 5-day path has it passing south of the peninsula (but through the Keys). I'm still very concerned, the 5-day forcasts can be off by a lot.
Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the government for a redress of grievances. | |
| | | Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 12:13 PM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 6:21 PM |
| JOHNNY TYLER!!!!!!! Wher ya going with that shot gun?
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| | | Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 12:38 PM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 1:46 PM |
| no1jag (9/5/2008) JOHNNY TYLER!!!!!!! Wher ya going with that shot gun?Of interest...I was surprised to re-watch Tombstone after several (many) years and saw that was Billy Bob Thornton. I completely disregarded it when I first saw the movie way back when.
Either write something worth reading, or do something worth writing.
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| | | Posted Friday, September 05, 2008 1:28 PM | |
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Group: Forum Members Last Login: Yesterday @ 6:21 PM |
| Gabe (9/5/2008)
no1jag (9/5/2008) JOHNNY TYLER!!!!!!! Wher ya going with that shot gun?Of interest...I was surprised to re-watch Tombstone after several (many) years and saw that was Billy Bob Thornton. I completely disregarded it when I first saw the movie way back when. yeah he was a bit chubby in that one huh.
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